Friday, December 4, 2020

Oil Still in Trouble (BIDEN)

 

OIL

OPEC+ Strikes Oil

Francis Scialabba

Yesterday afternoon, OPEC+ eked out an agreement to increase the output of its 23 members by 500,000 barrels/day come January. 

  • What’s OPEC+? Not a streaming service, a group of oil-producing countries that accounts for about half of global production.

How we got here

Early March: Pandemic lockdowns crushed demand for fuel, sending oil prices down nearly a quarter. 

April: Oil futures hit negative territory for the first time, underscoring oversupply in the market. 

May: OPEC+ decided to cut output by 9.7 million barrels/day to prop up prices. 

August: The group eased cuts to 7.7 million/day.  

Now: Negotiations broke down earlier this week as some OPEC+ nations (including Saudi Arabia) tried extending cuts through Q1 and others pushed for greater compliance from members. 

  • The compromise will keep the oil market in a deficit, helping producers burn through extra inventory.

Zoom in: Oil prices may feel abstract, but their 2020 tumble has very real consequences. Yesterday, Chevron shaved up to $6 billion off its budget. In all, big oil companies have written down ~$80 billion in assets this year, Reuters reports

        

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