Saturday, June 30, 2018

Canon EOS Rebel T6 DSLR Bundle

Canon EOS Rebel T6 DSLR Camera Bundle with Canon EF-S 18-55mm f/3.5-5.6 IS II Lens + Canon EF 75-300mm f/4-5.6 III Lens + 2pc SanDisk 32GB Memory Cards + Accessory Kit






https://www.amazon.com/Canon-18-55mm-3-5-5-6-75-300mm-Accessory/dp/B01MYM739C/ref=sr_1_5?ie=UTF8&qid=1530369806&sr=8-5&keywords=canon+t6&dpID=61jLU3jWYYL&preST=_SY300_QL70_&dpSrc=srch


Canon-18-55mm-300mm-Accessory

Barron's - Recession Risk June26,2018

 THINGS TO KNOW

Flattening Yield Curve Signals Recession Risk

PHOTO: ISTOCKPHOTO
Wall Street is worried that a flattening yield curve is close to predicting a recession.
Last week, the gap between two- and 10-year Treasury notes was 0.34 percentage points. “It was last at these levels in 2007 when the United States economy was heading into what was arguably the worst recession in almost 80 years,” writes The New York Times.
Growth and earnings are currently strong, but low yields on 10-year U.S. debt suggest the market sees weakness ahead. Flat yield curves have reliably augured recessions.

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My Barron’scolleague Ed Lin gathered advice from experts last week on how to play the flattening curve. He found there’s plenty of opportunity even in this darkening scenario.
Why is the yield curve flattening? Yields on short-term paper are rising as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates. Meanwhile, longer-term rates have been subdued. One factor: Foreign investors, who may even be seeing negative yields in their own countries’ debt, are thrilled to get even a small amount of yield. That means higher interest rates aren’t need to attract buyers.
Another factor concerns inflation expectations. Bond buyers don’t see strong inflation in the longer term, and as a result they aren’t demanding higher interest to protect their spending power. Low inflation sounds good, but rising inflation usually accompanies strong economic growth, and the market is saying it expects long-term weakness.
–Steve Garmhausen

evan-mcmullin-a-colonoscopy and "Never Trumpers" - A History

 


evan-mcmullin-a-colonoscopy



Evan McMullin: A Colonoscopy

By | April 30th, 2018
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Here is a trivia question that no one will get right in the coming years:
Name a Republican candidate for president in 2016 who attracted the support of once-principled conservatives who betrayed their long-held beliefs out of tribal hate, who abused his staff after the campaign was over, grandstanded on Twitter to no discernible purpose, and may have committed campaign finance violations, all while pretending to be the voice of a frustrated nation.

True True Conservatism - Andrew McCarthy

True True Conservatism

(Sergeyussr/Dreamstime)
While I am an admirer of his work, Ross Douthat’s New York Times post-mortem on the candidacy of Ted Cruz is a caricature of “True Conservatism,” the demise of which he undertakes to explain.
Devoid of any context except reaction to the futilities of George W. Bush’s “compassionate conservatism,” Ross builds his straw man:
Thus True Conservatism’s determination to avoid both anything that savored of big government and anything that smacked of compromise. Where Bush had been softhearted, True Conservatism would be sternly Ayn Randian; where Bush had been free-spending, True Conservatism would be austere; where Bush had taken working-class Americans off the tax rolls, True Conservatism would put them back on — for their own good. And above all, where Bush had sometimes reached for the center, True Conservatism would stand on principle, fight hard, and win.
This is warped because it fails to tell even half the story.
President Bush’s conservative heresies had not merely “reached for the center” or, as Ross elsewhere puts it, “led the Republican Party into a ditch.” They had paved the way for President Obama and the radical Left to lead the country into a bottomless pit. The national debt that Bush and the Republican Congress would double to $10 trillion, Obama would double again, to $20 trillion. The unsustainable entitlements that Bush added to, Obama would double-down on — including with Obamacare, which (unlike Bush’s well-meaning prescription entitlement) is about government control, not government compassion. The Bush bailouts became Obama mega-bailouts cum stimulus. The push for “comprehensive immigration reform” became the systematic non-enforcement of the immigration laws, the breakdown of border security, and a Justice Department crackdown on states that tried to affirm the rule of law. The conflation of national security with Muslim outreach, oxymoronic sharia-democracy building, and the pie-in-the-sky notion that Iran could be a helpful force for regional stability became willful blindness on steroids, Muslim Brotherhood promotion, and an Iran deal that combines nuclear proliferation with the provision of material support to the world’s leading state sponsor of terrorism.
In the interim, Republicans pleading to be returned to power repeatedly promised to use all constitutional means at their disposal, particularly the power of the purse, to thwart Obama’s steamrolling agenda. Typical was Mitch McConnell, GOP leader in the Senate, who thundered that Obama “needs to be challenged” and vowed “to do that through the funding process.” Here is McConnell, for example, in the run-up to the 2014 midterms:
In the spending bill, we will be pushing back against this bureaucracy by doing what’s called placing riders in the bill. No money can be spent to do this or to do that. We’re going to go after them on health care, on financial services, on the Environmental Protection Agency, across the board. All across the federal government, we’re going to go after it.
Yet, as soon as conservative voters put them in control, Republicans promptly dropped the combative rhetoric and forfeited the power of the purse. With Obama applauding, they funded the administration’s priorities while leaving themselves no leverage to fight the excesses that were sure to come and are sure to continue through the next eight months.
No sensible conservative is against compromise. We see the country being destroyed. We were and are reacting to a crisis. This is not an Ayn Rand seminar. We have simply wanted the bleeding stopped by — radical as this may sound — having Republicans do what they promised to do in order to get us to elect them.
No sensible conservative is against compromise.
Even in the government-shutdown episode that Ross refers to and that the GOP establishment is fond of banging on about, compromise was abundant: The proposal was to fund every other part of the budget except Obamacare. That meant swallowing a lot of what conservatives believe is unprincipled, astronomically absurd, and fiscally reckless, in order to fight on the narrow, favorable ground on which Republicans had promised to fight.
Had Republicans hung together — had they done what they told us during the campaign they were going to do — it would have been Obama shutting down the runaway government we were otherwise agreeing to fund over a health-care law that was broadly unpopular. We would probably have lost the skirmish, but there is honor and benefit in choosing where to draw the line and picking an important fight. Without such battles, a movement can’t persuade people over the long haul. And bear in mind: Obamacare was about to kick into gear. The stark choice, if you were really committed to trying to stop Obamacare, as Republicans told us they were, was to either pull the plug on it right there and then, or live with it. After all, as soon became evident, Republicans had no plausible alternative plan to undo it.
It was, as they say, a tactical disagreement. But the conservatives who wanted a budget battle over Obamacare funding were not unwilling to compromise. We were not expecting a repeal; we would have taken a delay in implementation — which can’t have been impossible, because Obama himself was delaying implementation with his selective, unconstitutional “waivers.” Conservatives were just unwilling to surrender without a fight — the same approach for which Ross’s newspaper routinely lionizes Democrats.
#share#Conservatives have also demanded real resistance because it has become clear that Republicans engage in cynical games designed to feign resistance. They use parliamentary procedures to arrange show votes that enable them to enact Obama agenda items while pretending to oppose them. On extending the debt limit and the Iran deal, to take two prominent examples, McConnell and his ally, Senator Bob Corker, orchestrated procedural sleight-of-hand that subverted the Constitution’s processes for enacting legislation and ratifying treaties — allowing intensely unpopular proposals to win approval while Republicans pretended to vote against them.
Conservatives grasp the intersection of principle and politics.
That’s what we are reacting to. As a conservative who believes in the Constitution’s framework, I’m against a great deal of what the federal government does: If I had my druthers, I’d repeal lots of laws, zero out lots of programs, return lots of responsibilities to state and local governments, cut up the government’s credit cards, organize foreign policy and national security around vital American interests, withdraw from most multilateral institutions (especially those whose original missions have ended), and so on. I do not, however, expect to get my way most of the time.
Conservatives grasp the intersection of principle and politics. I wrote a book recounting how the Framers saw impeachment of lawless presidents as vital to the proper operation of our constitutional system, yet contending that it would be a mistake to impeach the sitting lawless president in the absence of overwhelming public support (of which there was no prospect).
In general, I humbly hope to posit arguments that are good enough to bend things, however slightly, in the right direction. Then I move on to the next round, because I expect no permanent victories or defeats. I continue to think the promotion of liberty is not just an abstraction but works when applied practically. I would not narrowly target the message to evangelicals and to conservatives who already agree with me.
Still, politics is always give-and-take. You have to be prepared to listen as well as to advocate; “compromise” is not a dirty word as long as the public good is actually being advanced. Surrender camouflaged as “compromise” and “moderation,” however, is cowardice in a time of fiscal crisis, national-security threat, and the very real possibility that our governing framework is being dismantled irreparably.
The temporary triumph of Trumpism does not change that.

Socialism in Venezuela

LATE-STAGE SOCIALISM:

A minimum-wage worker in Venezuela could afford 5 cups of coffee each month — and nothing else.
Five million Venezuelan bolivars is the equivalent of $1.45. It’s also roughly a minimum-wage worker’s entire monthly salary in the South American country.
Thanks to stunning inflation, it now takes 1 million bolivars to buy a cup of coffee in a Venezuelan cafe, Bloomberg reports. That’s one-fifth of Venezuela’s monthly minimum wage, and a 10,000-bill stack of Venezuela’s most common bank note, the 100-bolivar bill.
If you have to ask what it costs to have a socialist-leaning hipster serve that cup of coffee, you can’t afford it.

Friday, June 29, 2018

Potential SCOTUS Nominees

Possible Justice Kennedy retirement would give Trump opportunity to tilt Supreme Court to right

Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy might retire from the bench as early as this summer, a GOP senator said, and if true,  President Trump would be able to nominate a justice who could tilt the nation’s highest court well to the right for the foreseeable future.
Kennedy, the 81-year-old swing vote appointed to the court by former President Ronald Reagan, has served on the bench for 29 years.
Politico reported last week that Sen. Dean Heller, R-Nev., said "Kennedy is going to retire around sometime early summer," suggesting the potential vacancy on the court could energize the Republican base. 
But Heller's office provided an official transcript of his comments, making it appear they were seemingly taken out of context by Politico. 
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"I believe that we're going to have another Supreme Court justice this year," Heller said. "I think that Kennedy is going to retire some time early summer. That being the case, Republicans are going to have another opportunity to put another Supreme Court justice in place, which I am hoping will get our base a little motivated." 
The Supreme Court did not respond to Fox News’ request for comment on whether Kennedy would retire by summer.
People visit the Supreme Court in Washington, Monday, June 26, 2017, as justices issued their final rulings for the term, in Washington. The high court is letting a limited version of the Trump administration ban on travel from six mostly Muslim countries take effect, a victory for President Donald Trump in the biggest legal controversy of his young presidency. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)
With Justice Kennedy potentially retiring, the Supreme Court could lose its critical "swing vote" on the bench.  (AP)
Despite Kennedy’s conservative background, the justice is the crucial swing vote on the bench, tending to side with liberal colleagues on issues of gay rights and abortion rights, as well as some cases involving race and the death penalty. Kennedy has written the court’s major gay-rights decisions, including the 2016 ruling that declared same-sex marriage a constitutional right nationwide.
But rumors of Kennedy’s retirement have been discussed since last year, prompting even the White House to release a list of potential nominees.
The White House, in November, said Trump was “refreshing” his list of potential Supreme Court nominees “with input from respected conservative leaders.”
“President Trump will choose a nominee for a future Supreme Court vacancy, should one arise, from this updated list of 25 individuals,” the November statement read.
On Monday, a White House official told Fox News that the list has not changed since then.
Among the 25 names are Sen. Mike Lee, R-Utah, who said last year that he would “not say no” if Trump asked him to serve on the high court.
Sen Mike Lee FBN
Sen. Mike Lee, R-Utah, has been floated as a potential Supreme Court nominee since last year.  (AP)
A spokesperson for Lee told Fox News on Monday that the senator “is honored to represent the people of Utah and is focused on his work in the Senate."
Other candidates on the list are Judge Amy Coney Barrett and Judge Kevin C. Newsom, who were both nominated to their current positions by Trump in May 2017. Barrett currently serves on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 7th Circuit and Newsom serves on U.S. Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit.
Also on the latest list are Justice Britt C. Grant of the Supreme Court of Georgia, Judge Brett M. Kavanaugh of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, and Justice Patrick Wyrick of the Supreme Court of Oklahoma.
In this photo taken Nov. 17, 2016, Judge Thomas Hardiman, federal judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit is seen in Washington. President Donald Trump has narrowed his choice to fill the Supreme Court vacancy to three judges and said he expects to make his decision in the coming days. The leading contenders, who all have met with Trump, are Hardiman, William Pryor and Neil Gorsuch, the person said, speaking anonymously because he was not authorized to speak publicly about internal decisions. (AP Photo/Cliff Owen)
Judge Thomas Hardiman of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit remains on the president's shortlist for a potential Supreme Court nominee.  (AP)
The president has kept Judge William Pryor of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit and Judge Thomas Hardiman from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit in Pennsylvania on the list. Both Pryor and Hardiman were final contenders against Gorsuch for Trump’s first Supreme Court pick last year.
The president has touted the appointment of Gorsuch to the high court as one of best successes in his presidency thus far. Kennedy was Gorsuch’s mentor in 1993.
Fox News’ Bill Mears and The Associated Press contributed to this report.