IN WHICH MICHAEL OREN GETS THE ALINSKY TREATMENT
Former Israeli Ambassador to the United States Michael Oren is the author of the new bookAlly: My Journey Across the American Israeli-Divide, to be published this coming Tuesday. Through the courtesies of publicist Stefanie Pearson and the team at Random House, I obtained and read an advance copy of the book in order to interview Ambassador Oren for a Power Line podcast that should be posted this weekend. I hope you will read the book and take the time to listen to what Oren has to say during the interview. What he has to say in both the book and the interview is interesting, illuminating and important.
The book is many things, but most of all it is an invaluable insider’s account of the fraying of the relationship between the United States and Israel in the Obama administration. The account focuses on the period of Oren’s ambassadorial service over the years 2009-2013. One thread of the book documents the Obama administration’s deceit and betrayal of Israel in favor of the Islamic Republic of Iran during these years. Oren’s account of the betrayal is simply devastating.
Drawing from the book in advance of its publication, Oren published “How Obama abandoned Israel” (accessible here via Google) this past Monday in the Wall Street Journal. This week h also published “Why Obama is wrong about Iran being ‘rational’ on nukes” in the Los Angeles Times and “How Obama opened his heart to the Muslim World” (“and got it stomped on”) at Foreign Policy. (Foreign Policy’s précis continues: “Israel’s former ambassador to the United States on the president’s naiveté as peacemaker, blinders to terrorism, and alienation of allies.”)
Oren timed the publication of his book to produce an impact on the debate over the merits of the current and prospective deals with Iran that will facilitate the regime’s acquisition of nuclear weapons. Oren’s critique of the Obama administration is particularly powerful in several respects.
Oren is a respected historian. His books Six Days of War and, most recently, Power, Faith, and Fantasy establish him as one of the preeminent historians of our time. Moreover, he is a man of the center. He is not now and never has been a member of the Likud Party. He has joined the centrist Kulanu Party and was elected to the Knesset as a member of the Kulanu Party in this year’s election.
I find him difficult to situate on the American political spectrum, but he would at best (from my perspective) be an independent. On the evidence of his new book, he studied Obama sufficiently to avoid drinking the Kool-Aid in 2008, but my guess (and it is only a guess) is that he would more comfortably fit in the Democratic Party than in the Republican. His critique of Obama cannot in any event be dismissed as that of an extremist, a “Likudnik,” a conservative, a fantasist, or the like.
Confronted with Oren’s insider account, what’s an Obamaton to do?
Obama and his minions have demanded that Prime Minister Netanyahu denounce Oren and renounce the Wall Street Journal column. The Times of Israel reports:
The op-ed has drawn unhappy reactions from the US, including an angry phone call from US Ambassador to Israel Dan Shapiro to Netanyahu, asking the prime minister to renounce Oren’s ideas in a public statement, according to a report in Haaretz Thursday.Netanyahu refused Shapiro’s request and said he had no intention of publicly addressing the piece, an anonymous source told the newspaper.The prime minister said Oren was no longer a public official but a politician belonging to another party and therefore he saw no reason he should intervene, Israel’s Army Radio reported, citing a statement from Netanyahu’s office.The Prime Minister’s Office refused to share Netanyahu’s views on the issue.
For the clueless, Netanyahu’s views are on display in Oren’s book at pages 50-355. If anything, Oren is more charitable toward Obama than Netanyahu is. But of course the intended audience for the denunciation demanded is the army of the ignorant that swells the ranks of Democrats and other supporters of President Obama.
With the publication of his new book and the related columns and essays, Ambassador Oren is in for a healthy dose of Alinsky treatment according to the terms of Rule 12: “Pick the target, freeze it, personalize it, and polarize it.” It is a treatment with which he developed great familiarity as he saw it directed toward Prime Minister Netanyahu by the same cast of characters now directing it toward him.
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OREN VS. OBAMA ON IRAN’S ANTI-SEMITISM
President Obama variously excuses, discounts and rationalizes the avowed anti-Semitic statements and goals of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Calling on his favorite reporter for the dissemination of his wisdom on such subject, Obama has observed to Jeffrey Goldberg, for example: “The fact that you are anti-Semitic, or racist, doesn’t preclude you from being interested in survival. The fact that the supreme leader is anti-Semitic doesn’t mean that this overrides all of his other considerations.” And: “They have their worldview and they see their interests. They’re not North Korea.”
Michael Oren responds in his book Ally as well as in his Los Angeles Times column “Why Obama is wrong about Iran being ‘rational’ on nukes.” Oren offers this compelling rejoinder:
Here’s the problem with Obama’s point of view: If indeed they are rational, Iranian leaders have had every reason to conclude that the president desperately wants a nuclear deal, and that their long-term cooperation is not really necessary.Although the White House has repeatedly claimed that “the window for diplomacy will not remain open forever,” in fact it has never come close to shutting. Even now, without a deal in place, it seems obvious that the sanctions will start to unravel.Consequently, the ayatollahs sensibly have determined that, by dragging out the negotiations, they can wrest further concessions from the United States. They can keep more centrifuges, more facilities and a larger uranium stockpile.Why, logically, would Iran believe Obama’s claim that “all options were on the table”? On the contrary, Iran has remained the world’s leading state sponsor of terrorism — brazenly threatening America’s allies in the Middle East, and in 2011 even allegedly planning a major terrorist attack in Washington against the Saudi ambassador — without facing military or even diplomatic retribution from the United States.The Iranians have taken note of how the White House helped overthrow Libya’s Moammar Kadafi after he gave up his nuclear program but shied away from North Korea when it tested more weapons. Iran can see how Syrian dictator Bashar Assad, by ceding part of his chemical arsenal, went from being America’s problem to America’s solution, and then to barrel-bombing his countrymen with impunity. Iranian rulers understood they could count on obtaining their nuclear program’s objectives of regime survival and regional supremacy without dismantling a centrifuge.Obama’s argument not only fails logic’s test but also history’s. Anti-Semitism, the president further explained to Goldberg in May, “doesn’t preclude you from being rational about the need to keep your economy afloat [or] being strategic about how you stay in power.” Except, in one infamous example, it did. The Nazis pursued insane ends. Even during the last days of World War II, as the Allied armies liberated Europe, they diverted precious military resources to massacring Jews.Obama would never say that anti-black racists are rational. And he would certainly not trust them with the means — however monitored — to reach their racist goals. That was the message Israeli officials and I conveyed in our discreet talks with the administration. The response was not, to our mind, reasonable.
In assessing the Obama administration’s response to the arguments presented as “not reasonable,” Oren is exercising his skills as a diplomat. Intelligent readers may want to fill out that assessment.
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U.S. Ambassador Dan Shapiro, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Israeli Ambassador Michael Oren.Photo by Ambassador Ron Dermer
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has rejected an American request to publicly disassociate himself from claims made by former Israeli Ambassador to Washington and current Kulanu MK Michael Oren accusing President Barack Obama of deliberately abandoning Israel, in an op-ed published several days ago in the Wall Street Journal.
Netanyahu told U.S. Ambassador to Israel Dan Shapiro that Oren's comments did not represent the government's position. However, because Oren is not a member of his party, Netanyahu did not see it appropriate to disavow Oren's statements publicly. Netanyahu said he would weigh commenting on the matter in public eventually.
Oren was appointed by Netanyahu in 2009 as Israel’s ambassador to Washington and served in that position until 2013. His piece in the Wall Street Journal, entitled “How Obama Abandoned Israel,” is part of a promotional campaign for his just-published memoir about his years as ambassador. In the article, Oren asserted that Obama abandoned the two main principles in Israel-U.S. relations – avoiding public disagreements (“no daylight”) and “no surprises” in terms of major policy changes.
On Tuesday, a few hours after Oren’s article was published, U.S. Ambassador Shapiro phoned Netanyahu. An Israeli source familiar with their conversation says that Shapiro asked Netanyahu to issue a public statement disavowing Oren’s accusations that Obama deliberately abandoned Israel from the time he entered the White House in 2008.
The source, who wished to remain anonymous since he was not authorized to reveal details to the press, said that Netanyahu turned down Shapiro’s request and said he had no intention of commenting publicly on what Oren wrote.
Shapiro also made a similar request to Finance Minister Moshe Kahlon, chairman of the Kulanu party of which Oren is a member. Unlike Netanyahu, Kahlon complied with the request. He summoned Oren for a discussion for clarification and subsequently sent a letter to the U.S. Ambassador saying that Oren’s comments against Obama do not represent the stance of Kulanu or its leader.
On Tuesday, Haaretz contacted the Prime Minister’s Office with a series of questions on the subject, including, what Netanyahu’s position was on Oren’s serious accusations against Obama.
The Prime Minister’s Office replied that it had no comment. Ambassador Shapiro declined to comment on the content of his conversation with Netanyahu.
U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry vehemently rejected Oren’s assertions in the Wall Street Journal article. State Department Spokesman John Kirby said in his daily briefing to reporters on Wednesday that Kerry read Oren’s article and believes that his claims against Obama “is absolutely inaccurate and false, and doesn't reflect what actually happened in the past.”
Kirby also said that Kerry thinks that Oren wrote what he did as “a politician trying to promote his book,” adding that, as ambassador, Oren "had limited visibility into many of the private discussions and deliberations that he describes."
Public Security Minister Gilad Erdan, who is also strategic affairs, and public diplomacy minister, also voiced harsh criticism over Oren's claims.
"Oren's claims are disconnected from reality," Erdan said on Thursday. "Oren is wrong to accuse President Obama of malicious intentions toward Israel. The president prevents harsh resolutions against Israeli from being passed at the UN, and actively tries to strengthen the security ties between the states. Saying that the president has abandoned Israel is a disconnected remark."
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Op-Ed
Why Obama is wrong about Iran being 'rational' on nukes
Obama says Iranian leaders' anti-Semitism doesn't preclude a desire for survival. History shows he's wrong
"The fact that you are anti-Semitic, or racist, doesn't preclude you from being interested in survival,” President Obama said last month in an interview with Jeffrey Goldberg in the Atlantic. “The fact that the supreme leader is anti-Semitic doesn't mean that this overrides all of his other considerations.”
The question of whether Iran, run by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and his ayatollahs, is a rational state goes to the very heart of the debate over its nuclear program and the negotiations, now nearing a June 30 deadline, to curb it.
Simply put: Those in the “rational” camp see a regime that wants to remain in power and achieve regional hegemony and will therefore cooperate, rather than languish under international sanctions that threaten to deny it both. The other side cannot accept that religious fanatics who deny the Holocaust, blame all evil on the Jews and pledge to annihilate the 6 million of them in Israel can be trusted with a nuclear program capable of producing the world's most destructive weapon in a single year.
The rational/irrational dispute was ever-present in the intimate discussions between the United States and Israel on the Iranian nuclear issue during my term as Israel's ambassador to Washington, from 2009 to the end of 2013. I took part in those talks and was impressed by their candor. Experts assessed the progress in Iran's program: the growing number of centrifuges in its expanding underground facilities, the rising stockpile of enriched uranium that could be used in not one but several bombs, and the time that would be required for Iran to “break out” or “sneak out” from international inspectors and become a nuclear power.
Both nations' technical estimates on Iran largely dovetailed. Where the two sides differed was over the nature of the Islamic Republic. The Americans tended to see Iranian leaders as logical actors who understood that the world would never allow them to attain nuclear weapons and would penalize them mercilessly — even militarily — for any attempt to try.
By contrast, most Israelis viewed the ayatollahs as radical jihadists who claimed they took instructions from the Shiite “Hidden Imam,” tortured homosexuals and executed women accused of adultery, and strove to commit genocide against Jews. Israelis could not rule out the possibility that the Iranians would be willing to sacrifice half of their people as martyrs in a war intended to “wipe Israel off the map.”
As famed Middle East scholar Bernard Lewis once observed, “Mutually assured destruction” for the Iranian regime “is not a deterrent — it's an inducement.”
The gap between the American and Israeli assessment of Iranian sanity only widened over the years. Obama insisted that the ayatollahs analyzed the nuclear issue on a cost-benefit basis. “They have their worldview and they see their interests. They're not North Korea,” he told Goldberg in a December interview.
Yet Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu saw Tehran's rulers as medieval fanatics determined to exterminate the Jews and achieve world domination. “You don't want a messianic apocalyptic cult controlling atomic bombs,” he warned Goldberg in a separate Atlantic interview in March. A nuclear-armed Iran, Netanyahu has frequently declared, is far worse than North Korea.
Which of them is right? Here's the problem with Obama's point of view: If indeed they are rational, Iranian leaders have had every reason to conclude that the president desperately wants a nuclear deal, and that their long-term cooperation is not really necessary.
Although the White House has repeatedly claimed that “the window for diplomacy will not remain open forever,” in fact it has never come close to shutting. Even now, without a deal in place, it seems obvious that the sanctions will start to unravel.
Consequently, the ayatollahs sensibly have determined that, by dragging out the negotiations, they can wrest further concessions from the United States. They can keep more centrifuges, more facilities and a larger uranium stockpile.
Why, logically, would Iran believe Obama's claim that “all options were on the table”? On the contrary, Iran has remained the world's leading state sponsor of terrorism — brazenly threatening America's allies in the Middle East, and in 2011 even allegedly planning a major terrorist attack in Washington against the Saudi ambassador — without facing military or even diplomatic retribution from the United States.
The Iranians have taken note of how the White House helped overthrow Libya's Moammar Kadafi after he gave up his nuclear program but shied away from North Korea when it tested more weapons. Iran can see how Syrian dictator Bashar Assad, by ceding part of his chemical arsenal, went from being America's problem to America's solution, and then to barrel-bombing his countrymen with impunity. Iranian rulers understood they could count on obtaining their nuclear program's objectives of regime survival and regional supremacy without dismantling a centrifuge.
Obama's argument not only fails logic's test but also history's. Anti-Semitism, the president further explained to Goldberg in May, “doesn't preclude you from being rational about the need to keep your economy afloat [or] being strategic about how you stay in power.” Except, in one infamous example, it did. The Nazis pursued insane ends. Even during the last days of World War II, as the Allied armies liberated Europe, they diverted precious military resources to massacring Jews.
Obama would never say that anti-black racists are rational. And he would certainly not trust them with the means — however monitored — to reach their racist goals. That was the message Israeli officials and I conveyed in our discreet talks with the administration. The response was not, to our mind, reasonable.
Michael Oren, a member of the Israeli parliament, the Knesset, is the author of "Ally: My Journal Across the American-Israeli Divide," to be published June 23.
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