Tuesday, January 15, 2019

PG&E Faces a Reckoning - Consequences of California Fires

UTILITIES

PG&E Faces a Reckoning


One day after losing its CEO Geisha Williams, PG&E said it plans to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection by the end of the month.

How'd we get here?

California's largest utility is staring down about $30 billion in potential liabilities tied to its role in Golden State wildfires in 2017 and 2018. Officials determined PG&E power lines sparked at least 18 major wildfires in 2017, plus it's under investigation for its role in November's Camp Fire (the deadliest in state history).
Yesterday, PG&E disclosed it had only about $1.5 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand, adding that bankruptcy was the best choice for shareholders, creditors, and customers.

It's been a quick downturn

A week ago, PG&E held investment-grade ratings from all three major credit raters. Its bonds traded above face value two months ago...but now go for 85 cents on the dollar. 
  • Shareholders are also bracing for impact. PG&E stock had dropped 63% from the start of the Camp Fire to Monday morning, and shares lost more than half their value yesterday.
California lawmakers had weighed steps to rescue PG&E, but the company decided state assistance would simply take too long (possibly years) to avoid a bankruptcy filing. Plus, the state doesn't seem interested in a bailout anymore.

The big picture

As Bloomberg pointed out, PG&E's bankruptcy is another that must've downed some cold brew before getting started. Compared to Sears, where "bankruptcy" is a word that's been tossed around for years, other companies aren't waiting to take the leap.
  • One example? Toys 'R' Us filed for bankruptcy in September 2017...within weeks of a report saying that option was on the table.
The word you need to know moving forward: "Uncertainty," says the WSJ. Uncertainty for bondholders, shareholders, employees, and customers, and uncertainty for the state's ambitious climate change initiatives, including solar and battery projects.
        

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