Earnings
season kicks off with banks
OUTLOOK: January 13th
It is Friday the 13th and earnings season kicks off
today with banks reporting... will it be a Freddie Kruger kind of day
or do we move forward with optimism? We will know soon enough as Bank
of America, JP Morgan and Wells Fargo report before the opening bell.
With interest rates higher, expectations are equally higher. The
challenge is the time it takes for the benefit of higher rates to
impact the bottom line is greater than most expect. With that in
mind, we approach the trading day with caution on the heels of the
market shedding some gains on Thursday. There were no structural or
figurative changes as a result as investors continue to languish in
the current trading range of consolidation and digestion.
Eight of the eleven sectors ended lower on the day with
financials (XLF) leading the downside along with telecom (IYZ) and
energy (XLE). Blame it on anticipation of earnings or rotation, but
the upside was not that impressive or defensive in nature. The upside
came from healthcare (XLV), REITs (RWR) and utilities (XLU). The
movement on the day was not enough to change anything at this
juncture and we will hold to see how today unfolds. Gold (GLD) moved
higher again holding the move through resistance at the $111.10 level
and attempting to fill the gap left in November. The dollar index
(DXY) reacted to higher treasury prices with yields moving
lower but managed to recapture most of the losses by the close
of trading. The emerging markets (EEM) are positive as well with a
solid move above the $35.62 resistance and the December highs at
$36.43. The Volatility Index (VIX) to a high of 12.6 intraday before
settling at 11.5 as the opening anxiety faded. Worries about the news
from Washington could push the index higher eventually, but for now,
it was only a brief encounter. Overall patiently watching how
this unfolds with the month half over and nothing but news and
speculation on the horizon...
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